Backward solver

What does USC need?

Locked inCrack the top 25

USC has clinched the top 25 no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#9 – #9

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

RPI 0.6062

If USC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

RPI 0.6048

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #9 – P95 #9). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.6001

If USC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

USC is mathematically locked into the top 25. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #25 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Texas AM Regional W R1Texas State	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does USC need?

Locked inCrack the top 25

USC has clinched the top 25 no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#9 – #9

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

RPI 0.6062

If USC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

RPI 0.6048

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #9 – P95 #9). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.6001

If USC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

USC is mathematically locked into the top 25. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #25 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Texas AM Regional W R1Texas State	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does USC need?

Locked inCrack the top 25

USC has clinched the top 25 no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#9 – #9

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

RPI 0.6062

If USC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

RPI 0.6048

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #9 – P95 #9). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.6001

If USC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

USC is mathematically locked into the top 25. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #25 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Texas AM Regional W R1Texas State	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does USC need?

Locked inCrack the top 25

USC has clinched the top 25 no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#9 – #9

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

RPI 0.6062

If USC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

RPI 0.6048

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #9 – P95 #9). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.6001

If USC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

USC is mathematically locked into the top 25. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #25 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Texas AM Regional W R1Texas State	#8	#14	6

Try another