Backward solver

What does UIC need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UIC can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#222 – #222

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4733

If UIC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#222

RPI 0.4664

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#222

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #222 – P95 #222). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#214

RPI 0.4686

If UIC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UIC at #207. UIC can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Georgia Tech	#207	#214	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UIC need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UIC can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#222 – #222

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4733

If UIC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#222

RPI 0.4664

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#222

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #222 – P95 #222). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#214

RPI 0.4686

If UIC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UIC at #207. UIC can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Georgia Tech	#207	#214	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UIC need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UIC can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#222 – #222

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4733

If UIC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#222

RPI 0.4664

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#222

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #222 – P95 #222). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#214

RPI 0.4686

If UIC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UIC at #207. UIC can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Georgia Tech	#207	#214	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UIC need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UIC can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#222 – #222

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4733

If UIC wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#222

RPI 0.4664

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#222

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #222 – P95 #222). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#214

RPI 0.4686

If UIC is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UIC at #207. UIC can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Georgia Tech	#207	#214	7

Try another