Backward solver

What does UCF need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UCF can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#35 – #35

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#33

RPI 0.5674

If UCF wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#35

RPI 0.5655

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#35

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #35 – P95 #35). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#38

RPI 0.5619

If UCF is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UCF at #33. UCF can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Auburn Regional W R1North Carolina State	#33	#38	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UCF need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UCF can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#35 – #35

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#33

RPI 0.5674

If UCF wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#35

RPI 0.5655

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#35

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #35 – P95 #35). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#38

RPI 0.5619

If UCF is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UCF at #33. UCF can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Auburn Regional W R1North Carolina State	#33	#38	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UCF need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UCF can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#35 – #35

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#33

RPI 0.5674

If UCF wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#35

RPI 0.5655

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#35

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #35 – P95 #35). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#38

RPI 0.5619

If UCF is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UCF at #33. UCF can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Auburn Regional W R1North Carolina State	#33	#38	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does UCF need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

UCF can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#35 – #35

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#33

RPI 0.5674

If UCF wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#35

RPI 0.5655

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#35

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #35 – P95 #35). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#38

RPI 0.5619

If UCF is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves UCF at #33. UCF can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Auburn Regional W R1North Carolina State	#33	#38	5

Try another