Backward solver

What does Troy need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Troy can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#34 – #34

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#30

RPI 0.5691

If Troy wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#34

RPI 0.5657

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#34

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #34 – P95 #34). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#35

RPI 0.5648

If Troy is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Troy at #30. Troy can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Miami (FL)	#30	#35	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Troy need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Troy can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#34 – #34

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#30

RPI 0.5691

If Troy wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#34

RPI 0.5657

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#34

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #34 – P95 #34). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#35

RPI 0.5648

If Troy is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Troy at #30. Troy can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Miami (FL)	#30	#35	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Troy need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Troy can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#34 – #34

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#30

RPI 0.5691

If Troy wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#34

RPI 0.5657

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#34

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #34 – P95 #34). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#35

RPI 0.5648

If Troy is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Troy at #30. Troy can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Miami (FL)	#30	#35	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Troy need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Troy can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#34 – #34

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#30

RPI 0.5691

If Troy wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#34

RPI 0.5657

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#34

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #34 – P95 #34). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#35

RPI 0.5648

If Troy is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Troy at #30. Troy can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Miami (FL)	#30	#35	5

Try another