Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Towson can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#231

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Towson can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#231

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Towson can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#231

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Towson can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#231

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another