Backward solver

What does The Citadel need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

The Citadel can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#41 – #43

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#40

RPI 0.5611

If The Citadel wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#43

RPI 0.5580

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#41

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #41 – P95 #43). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#44

RPI 0.5567

If The Citadel is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves The Citadel at #40. The Citadel can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Oklahoma	#40	#44	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does The Citadel need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

The Citadel can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#41 – #43

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#40

RPI 0.5611

If The Citadel wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#43

RPI 0.5580

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#41

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #41 – P95 #43). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#44

RPI 0.5567

If The Citadel is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves The Citadel at #40. The Citadel can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Oklahoma	#40	#44	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does The Citadel need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

The Citadel can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#41 – #43

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#40

RPI 0.5611

If The Citadel wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#43

RPI 0.5580

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#41

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #41 – P95 #43). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#44

RPI 0.5567

If The Citadel is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves The Citadel at #40. The Citadel can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Oklahoma	#40	#44	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does The Citadel need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

The Citadel can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#41 – #43

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#40

RPI 0.5611

If The Citadel wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#43

RPI 0.5580

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#41

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #41 – P95 #43). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#44

RPI 0.5567

If The Citadel is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves The Citadel at #40. The Citadel can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Georgia Tech Regional W R1Oklahoma	#40	#44	4

Try another