Backward solver

What does Southern need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Southern can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#199 – #201

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Today

#200

RPI 0.4758

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#200

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #199 – P95 #201). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern at #200. Southern can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Southern can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#199 – #201

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Today

#200

RPI 0.4758

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#200

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #199 – P95 #201). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern at #200. Southern can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Southern can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#199 – #201

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Today

#200

RPI 0.4758

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#200

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #199 – P95 #201). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern at #200. Southern can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Southern can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#199 – #201

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Today

#200

RPI 0.4758

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#200

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #199 – P95 #201). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#200

RPI 0.4758

Southern has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern at #200. Southern can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another