Backward solver

What does Rider need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Rider can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#116 – #124

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#110

RPI 0.5154

If Rider wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#117

RPI 0.5102

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#117

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #116 – P95 #124). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#117

RPI 0.5105

If Rider is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Rider at #110. Rider can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Florida	#110	#117	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Rider need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Rider can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#116 – #124

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#110

RPI 0.5154

If Rider wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#117

RPI 0.5102

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#117

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #116 – P95 #124). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#117

RPI 0.5105

If Rider is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Rider at #110. Rider can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Florida	#110	#117	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Rider need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Rider can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#116 – #124

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#110

RPI 0.5154

If Rider wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#117

RPI 0.5102

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#117

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #116 – P95 #124). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#117

RPI 0.5105

If Rider is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Rider at #110. Rider can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Florida	#110	#117	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Rider need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Rider can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#116 – #124

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#110

RPI 0.5154

If Rider wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#117

RPI 0.5102

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#117

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #116 – P95 #124). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#117

RPI 0.5105

If Rider is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Rider at #110. Rider can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Florida Regional W R1Florida	#110	#117	7

Try another