Backward solver

What does Penn need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Penn can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#172 – #172

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Today

#172

RPI 0.4891

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#172

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #172 – P95 #172). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn at #172. Penn can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Penn can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#172 – #172

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Today

#172

RPI 0.4891

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#172

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #172 – P95 #172). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn at #172. Penn can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Penn can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#172 – #172

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Today

#172

RPI 0.4891

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#172

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #172 – P95 #172). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn at #172. Penn can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Penn can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#172 – #172

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Today

#172

RPI 0.4891

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#172

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #172 – P95 #172). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#172

RPI 0.4891

Penn has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn at #172. Penn can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another