Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Niagara can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #182

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4852

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4852

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#182

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #182). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4852

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25

Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Niagara can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #182

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4852

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4852

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#182

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #182). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4852

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25