Backward solver

What does Middle Tennessee need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Middle Tennessee can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#218 – #219

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Today

#217

RPI 0.4677

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#218

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #218 – P95 #219). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Middle Tennessee at #217. Middle Tennessee can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Middle Tennessee need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Middle Tennessee can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#218 – #219

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Today

#217

RPI 0.4677

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#218

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #218 – P95 #219). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Middle Tennessee at #217. Middle Tennessee can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Middle Tennessee need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Middle Tennessee can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#218 – #219

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Today

#217

RPI 0.4677

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#218

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #218 – P95 #219). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Middle Tennessee at #217. Middle Tennessee can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Middle Tennessee need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Middle Tennessee can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#218 – #219

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Today

#217

RPI 0.4677

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#218

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #218 – P95 #219). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#217

RPI 0.4677

Middle Tennessee has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Middle Tennessee at #217. Middle Tennessee can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another