Fairfield can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.
If Fairfield wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.
Current standing with no further games forced.
Median across simulated seasons (P5 #150 – P95 #161). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.
If Fairfield is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.
Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Fairfield at #150. Fairfield can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.
| Date | Opponent | Win → | Loss → | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSat, May 23 | MAAC finalRider | #150 | #161 |
Fairfield can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.
If Fairfield wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.
Current standing with no further games forced.
Median across simulated seasons (P5 #150 – P95 #161). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.
If Fairfield is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.
Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Fairfield at #150. Fairfield can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.
| Date | Opponent | Win → | Loss → | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NSat, May 23 | MAAC finalRider | #150 | #161 |
| 11 |
| 11 |
