Backward solver

What does Dayton need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Dayton can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Today

#181

RPI 0.4854

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#180

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Dayton at #181. Dayton can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Dayton need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Dayton can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Today

#181

RPI 0.4854

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#180

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Dayton at #181. Dayton can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Dayton need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Dayton can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Today

#181

RPI 0.4854

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#180

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Dayton at #181. Dayton can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Dayton need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Dayton can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#180 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Today

#181

RPI 0.4854

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#180

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #180 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#181

RPI 0.4854

Dayton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Dayton at #181. Dayton can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another