Backward solver

What does Butler need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Butler can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#224 – #234

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Today

#230

RPI 0.4615

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#233

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #224 – P95 #234). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Butler at #230. Butler can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Butler need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Butler can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#224 – #234

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Today

#230

RPI 0.4615

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#233

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #224 – P95 #234). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Butler at #230. Butler can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Butler need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Butler can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#224 – #234

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Today

#230

RPI 0.4615

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#233

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #224 – P95 #234). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Butler at #230. Butler can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Butler need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Butler can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#224 – #234

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Today

#230

RPI 0.4615

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#233

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #224 – P95 #234). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#230

RPI 0.4615

Butler has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Butler at #230. Butler can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another