Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Arizona State can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Arizona State at #41. Arizona State can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Arizona State can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Arizona State at #41. Arizona State can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Arizona State can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Arizona State at #41. Arizona State can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Arizona State need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Arizona State can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#47 – #47

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#41

RPI 0.5597

If Arizona State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#47

RPI 0.5562

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#47

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #47 – P95 #47). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#48

RPI 0.5552

If Arizona State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Arizona State at #41. Arizona State can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Ole Miss	#41	#48	7

Try another