Backward solver

What does Abilene Christian need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Abilene Christian can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#190 – #190

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#190

RPI 0.4806

Abilene Christian has no games left to play.

Today

#190

RPI 0.4806

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#190

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #190 – P95 #190). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#190

RPI 0.4806

Abilene Christian has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Abilene Christian at #190. Abilene Christian can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25

Backward solver

What does Abilene Christian need?

Out of reachCrack the top 25

Abilene Christian can't crack the top 25 on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#190 – #190

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #25

Win out

#190

RPI 0.4806

Abilene Christian has no games left to play.

Today

#190

RPI 0.4806

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#190

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #190 – P95 #190). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#190

RPI 0.4806

Abilene Christian has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Abilene Christian at #190. Abilene Christian can’t crack the top 25 given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25