Backward solver

What does Southern Miss need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Southern Miss has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#10 – #10

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

RPI 0.6051

If Southern Miss wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#10

RPI 0.6042

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#10

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #10 – P95 #10). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.5998

If Southern Miss is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Southern Miss is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Southern Miss Regional W R1Little Rock	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Miss need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Southern Miss has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#10 – #10

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

RPI 0.6051

If Southern Miss wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#10

RPI 0.6042

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#10

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #10 – P95 #10). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.5998

If Southern Miss is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Southern Miss is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Southern Miss Regional W R1Little Rock	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Miss need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Southern Miss has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#10 – #10

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

RPI 0.6051

If Southern Miss wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#10

RPI 0.6042

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#10

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #10 – P95 #10). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.5998

If Southern Miss is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Southern Miss is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Southern Miss Regional W R1Little Rock	#8	#14	6

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Miss need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Southern Miss has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#10 – #10

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

RPI 0.6051

If Southern Miss wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#10

RPI 0.6042

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#10

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #10 – P95 #10). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#14

RPI 0.5998

If Southern Miss is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Southern Miss is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Southern Miss Regional W R1Little Rock	#8	#14	6

Try another