Backward solver

What does Oregon need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Oregon has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#15 – #15

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#15

RPI 0.5991

If Oregon wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#15

RPI 0.5975

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#15

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #15 – P95 #15). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5935

If Oregon is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Oregon is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Oregon Regional W R1Yale	#15	#15	—

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Oregon need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Oregon has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#15 – #15

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#15

RPI 0.5991

If Oregon wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#15

RPI 0.5975

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#15

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #15 – P95 #15). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5935

If Oregon is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Oregon is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Oregon Regional W R1Yale	#15	#15	—

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Oregon need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Oregon has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#15 – #15

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#15

RPI 0.5991

If Oregon wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#15

RPI 0.5975

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#15

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #15 – P95 #15). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5935

If Oregon is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Oregon is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Oregon Regional W R1Yale	#15	#15	—

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Oregon need?

Locked inHost a regional (top 16)

Oregon has clinched a host seed no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#15 – #15

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#15

RPI 0.5991

If Oregon wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#15

RPI 0.5975

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#15

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #15 – P95 #15). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5935

If Oregon is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Oregon is mathematically locked into a host seed. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #16 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Oregon Regional W R1Yale	#15	#15	—

Try another