Backward solver

What does East Carolina need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

East Carolina can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#39 – #39

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#36

RPI 0.5646

If East Carolina wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#39

RPI 0.5612

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#39

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #39 – P95 #39). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#40

RPI 0.5602

If East Carolina is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves East Carolina at #36. East Carolina can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	North Carolina Regional W R1Tennessee	#36	#40	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does East Carolina need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

East Carolina can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#39 – #39

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#36

RPI 0.5646

If East Carolina wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#39

RPI 0.5612

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#39

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #39 – P95 #39). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#40

RPI 0.5602

If East Carolina is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves East Carolina at #36. East Carolina can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	North Carolina Regional W R1Tennessee	#36	#40	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does East Carolina need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

East Carolina can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#39 – #39

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#36

RPI 0.5646

If East Carolina wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#39

RPI 0.5612

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#39

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #39 – P95 #39). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#40

RPI 0.5602

If East Carolina is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves East Carolina at #36. East Carolina can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	North Carolina Regional W R1Tennessee	#36	#40	4

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does East Carolina need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

East Carolina can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#39 – #39

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#36

RPI 0.5646

If East Carolina wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#39

RPI 0.5612

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#39

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #39 – P95 #39). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#40

RPI 0.5602

If East Carolina is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves East Carolina at #36. East Carolina can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	North Carolina Regional W R1Tennessee	#36	#40	4

Try another