Backward solver

What does Duke need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

Duke can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#86 – #86

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Today

#86

RPI 0.5301

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#86

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #86 – P95 #86). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Duke at #86. Duke can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Duke need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

Duke can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#86 – #86

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Today

#86

RPI 0.5301

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#86

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #86 – P95 #86). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Duke at #86. Duke can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Duke need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

Duke can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#86 – #86

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Today

#86

RPI 0.5301

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#86

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #86 – P95 #86). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Duke at #86. Duke can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Duke need?

Out of reachHost a regional (top 16)

Duke can't host a regional on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#86 – #86

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #16

Win out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Today

#86

RPI 0.5301

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#86

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #86 – P95 #86). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#86

RPI 0.5301

Duke has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Duke at #86. Duke can’t host a regional given the schedule that’s left.

Try another