Backward solver

What does Western Michigan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Michigan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#140 – #142

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Today

#141

RPI 0.5002

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#141

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #140 – P95 #142). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Michigan at #141. Western Michigan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Michigan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Michigan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#140 – #142

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Today

#141

RPI 0.5002

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#141

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #140 – P95 #142). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Michigan at #141. Western Michigan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Michigan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Michigan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#140 – #142

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Today

#141

RPI 0.5002

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#141

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #140 – P95 #142). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Michigan at #141. Western Michigan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Michigan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Michigan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#140 – #142

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Today

#141

RPI 0.5002

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#141

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #140 – P95 #142). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#141

RPI 0.5002

Western Michigan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Michigan at #141. Western Michigan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another