Backward solver

What does Western Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#259 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#260

RPI 0.4427

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#260

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #259 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Illinois at #260. Western Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#259 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#260

RPI 0.4427

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#260

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #259 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Illinois at #260. Western Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#259 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#260

RPI 0.4427

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#260

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #259 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Illinois at #260. Western Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Western Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Western Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#259 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#260

RPI 0.4427

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#260

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #259 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#260

RPI 0.4427

Western Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Western Illinois at #260. Western Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another