Backward solver

What does Wagner need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Wagner can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#238 – #238

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Today

#238

RPI 0.4565

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#238

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #238 – P95 #238). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Wagner at #238. Wagner can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Wagner need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Wagner can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#238 – #238

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Today

#238

RPI 0.4565

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#238

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #238 – P95 #238). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Wagner at #238. Wagner can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Wagner need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Wagner can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#238 – #238

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Today

#238

RPI 0.4565

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#238

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #238 – P95 #238). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Wagner at #238. Wagner can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Wagner need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Wagner can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#238 – #238

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Today

#238

RPI 0.4565

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#238

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #238 – P95 #238). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#238

RPI 0.4565

Wagner has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Wagner at #238. Wagner can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another