Backward solver

What does Villanova need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Villanova can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#237 – #239

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Today

#239

RPI 0.4563

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#239

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #237 – P95 #239). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Villanova at #239. Villanova can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Villanova need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Villanova can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#237 – #239

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Today

#239

RPI 0.4563

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#239

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #237 – P95 #239). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Villanova at #239. Villanova can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Villanova need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Villanova can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#237 – #239

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Today

#239

RPI 0.4563

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#239

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #237 – P95 #239). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Villanova at #239. Villanova can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Villanova need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Villanova can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#237 – #239

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Today

#239

RPI 0.4563

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#239

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #237 – P95 #239). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#239

RPI 0.4563

Villanova has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Villanova at #239. Villanova can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another