Backward solver

What does UNCG need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

UNCG can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#131 – #133

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#132

RPI 0.5056

UNCG has no games left to play.

Today

#132

RPI 0.5056

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#133

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #131 – P95 #133). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#132

RPI 0.5056

UNCG has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves UNCG at #132. UNCG can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25

Backward solver

What does UNCG need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

UNCG can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#131 – #133

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#132

RPI 0.5056

UNCG has no games left to play.

Today

#132

RPI 0.5056

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#133

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #131 – P95 #133). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#132

RPI 0.5056

UNCG has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves UNCG at #132. UNCG can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Top 25