Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Towson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#230

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Towson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#230

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Towson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#230

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Towson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Towson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#230 – #232

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Today

#231

RPI 0.4606

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#230

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #230 – P95 #232). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4606

Towson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Towson at #231. Towson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another