Backward solver

What does Southern Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Southern Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#236 – #237

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#237

RPI 0.4574

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#237

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #236 – P95 #237). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern Illinois at #237. Southern Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Southern Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#236 – #237

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#237

RPI 0.4574

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#237

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #236 – P95 #237). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern Illinois at #237. Southern Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Southern Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#236 – #237

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#237

RPI 0.4574

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#237

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #236 – P95 #237). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern Illinois at #237. Southern Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Southern Illinois need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Southern Illinois can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#236 – #237

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Today

#237

RPI 0.4574

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#237

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #236 – P95 #237). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#237

RPI 0.4574

Southern Illinois has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Southern Illinois at #237. Southern Illinois can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another