Backward solver

What does South Dakota State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

South Dakota State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#232 – #233

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#221

RPI 0.4670

If South Dakota State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#232

RPI 0.4600

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#232

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #232 – P95 #233). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4613

If South Dakota State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves South Dakota State at #221. South Dakota State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Nebraska	#221	#231	10

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does South Dakota State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

South Dakota State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#232 – #233

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#221

RPI 0.4670

If South Dakota State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#232

RPI 0.4600

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#232

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #232 – P95 #233). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4613

If South Dakota State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves South Dakota State at #221. South Dakota State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Nebraska	#221	#231	10

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does South Dakota State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

South Dakota State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#232 – #233

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#221

RPI 0.4670

If South Dakota State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#232

RPI 0.4600

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#232

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #232 – P95 #233). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4613

If South Dakota State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves South Dakota State at #221. South Dakota State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Nebraska	#221	#231	10

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does South Dakota State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

South Dakota State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#232 – #233

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#221

RPI 0.4670

If South Dakota State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#232

RPI 0.4600

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#232

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #232 – P95 #233). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#231

RPI 0.4613

If South Dakota State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves South Dakota State at #221. South Dakota State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	Nebraska Regional W R1Nebraska	#221	#231	10

Try another