Backward solver

What does Siena need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Siena can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#270 – #271

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Today

#270

RPI 0.4369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#270

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #270 – P95 #271). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Siena at #270. Siena can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Siena need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Siena can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#270 – #271

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Today

#270

RPI 0.4369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#270

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #270 – P95 #271). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Siena at #270. Siena can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Siena need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Siena can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#270 – #271

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Today

#270

RPI 0.4369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#270

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #270 – P95 #271). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Siena at #270. Siena can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Siena need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Siena can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#270 – #271

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Today

#270

RPI 0.4369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#270

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #270 – P95 #271). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#270

RPI 0.4369

Siena has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Siena at #270. Siena can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another