Backward solver

What does Penn State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Penn State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#197 – #199

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Today

#198

RPI 0.4767

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#198

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #197 – P95 #199). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn State at #198. Penn State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Penn State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#197 – #199

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Today

#198

RPI 0.4767

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#198

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #197 – P95 #199). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn State at #198. Penn State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Penn State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#197 – #199

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Today

#198

RPI 0.4767

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#198

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #197 – P95 #199). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn State at #198. Penn State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Penn State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Penn State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#197 – #199

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Today

#198

RPI 0.4767

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#198

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #197 – P95 #199). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#198

RPI 0.4767

Penn State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Penn State at #198. Penn State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another