Backward solver

What does North Alabama need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

North Alabama can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Today

#156

RPI 0.4947

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#155

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves North Alabama at #156. North Alabama can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does North Alabama need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

North Alabama can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Today

#156

RPI 0.4947

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#155

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves North Alabama at #156. North Alabama can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does North Alabama need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

North Alabama can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Today

#156

RPI 0.4947

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#155

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves North Alabama at #156. North Alabama can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does North Alabama need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

North Alabama can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Today

#156

RPI 0.4947

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#155

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#156

RPI 0.4947

North Alabama has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves North Alabama at #156. North Alabama can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another