Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Niagara can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#179 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4857

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#181

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #179 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Niagara can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#179 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4857

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#181

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #179 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Niagara can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#179 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4857

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#181

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #179 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Niagara need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Niagara can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#179 – #181

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Today

#180

RPI 0.4857

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#181

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #179 – P95 #181). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#180

RPI 0.4857

Niagara has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Niagara at #180. Niagara can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another