Backward solver

What does Navy need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Navy can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#211 – #212

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Today

#211

RPI 0.4712

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#211

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #211 – P95 #212). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Navy at #211. Navy can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Navy need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Navy can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#211 – #212

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Today

#211

RPI 0.4712

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#211

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #211 – P95 #212). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Navy at #211. Navy can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Navy need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Navy can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#211 – #212

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Today

#211

RPI 0.4712

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#211

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #211 – P95 #212). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Navy at #211. Navy can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Navy need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Navy can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#211 – #212

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Today

#211

RPI 0.4712

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#211

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #211 – P95 #212). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#211

RPI 0.4712

Navy has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Navy at #211. Navy can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another