Backward solver

What does Murray State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Murray State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#189 – #189

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Today

#188

RPI 0.4811

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#189

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #189 – P95 #189). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Murray State at #188. Murray State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Murray State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Murray State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#189 – #189

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Today

#188

RPI 0.4811

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#189

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #189 – P95 #189). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Murray State at #188. Murray State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Murray State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Murray State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#189 – #189

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Today

#188

RPI 0.4811

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#189

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #189 – P95 #189). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Murray State at #188. Murray State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Murray State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Murray State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#189 – #189

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Today

#188

RPI 0.4811

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#189

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #189 – P95 #189). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#188

RPI 0.4811

Murray State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Murray State at #188. Murray State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another