Backward solver

What does Morehead State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Morehead State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#110 – #111

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Today

#112

RPI 0.5142

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#110

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #110 – P95 #111). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Morehead State at #112. Morehead State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Morehead State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Morehead State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#110 – #111

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Today

#112

RPI 0.5142

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#110

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #110 – P95 #111). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Morehead State at #112. Morehead State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Morehead State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Morehead State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#110 – #111

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Today

#112

RPI 0.5142

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#110

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #110 – P95 #111). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Morehead State at #112. Morehead State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Morehead State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Morehead State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#110 – #111

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Today

#112

RPI 0.5142

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#110

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #110 – P95 #111). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#112

RPI 0.5142

Morehead State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Morehead State at #112. Morehead State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another