Backward solver

What does Mississippi State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Mississippi State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#13 – #13

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#13

RPI 0.6026

If Mississippi State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#13

RPI 0.6018

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#13

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #13 – P95 #13). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5974

If Mississippi State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Mississippi State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Lipscomb	#13	#15	2

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Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mississippi State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Mississippi State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#13 – #13

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#13

RPI 0.6026

If Mississippi State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#13

RPI 0.6018

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#13

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #13 – P95 #13). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5974

If Mississippi State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Mississippi State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Lipscomb	#13	#15	2

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mississippi State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Mississippi State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#13 – #13

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#13

RPI 0.6026

If Mississippi State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#13

RPI 0.6018

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#13

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #13 – P95 #13). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5974

If Mississippi State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Mississippi State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Lipscomb	#13	#15	2

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mississippi State need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Mississippi State has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#13 – #13

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#13

RPI 0.6026

If Mississippi State wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#13

RPI 0.6018

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#13

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #13 – P95 #13). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#15

RPI 0.5974

If Mississippi State is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Mississippi State is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Lipscomb	#13	#15	2

Try another