Backward solver

What does Michigan State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Michigan State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#99 – #100

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Today

#99

RPI 0.5207

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#100

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #99 – P95 #100). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Michigan State at #99. Michigan State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Michigan State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Michigan State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#99 – #100

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Today

#99

RPI 0.5207

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#100

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #99 – P95 #100). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Michigan State at #99. Michigan State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Michigan State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Michigan State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#99 – #100

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Today

#99

RPI 0.5207

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#100

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #99 – P95 #100). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Michigan State at #99. Michigan State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Michigan State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Michigan State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#99 – #100

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Today

#99

RPI 0.5207

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#100

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #99 – P95 #100). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#99

RPI 0.5207

Michigan State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Michigan State at #99. Michigan State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another