Backward solver

What does Mercyhurst need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Mercyhurst can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#298 – #298

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Today

#298

RPI 0.3999

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#298

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #298 – P95 #298). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Mercyhurst at #298. Mercyhurst can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mercyhurst need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Mercyhurst can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#298 – #298

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Today

#298

RPI 0.3999

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#298

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #298 – P95 #298). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Mercyhurst at #298. Mercyhurst can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mercyhurst need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Mercyhurst can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#298 – #298

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Today

#298

RPI 0.3999

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#298

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #298 – P95 #298). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Mercyhurst at #298. Mercyhurst can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Mercyhurst need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Mercyhurst can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#298 – #298

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Today

#298

RPI 0.3999

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#298

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #298 – P95 #298). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#298

RPI 0.3999

Mercyhurst has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Mercyhurst at #298. Mercyhurst can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another