Backward solver

What does Memphis need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Memphis can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#112 – #112

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Today

#113

RPI 0.5140

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#112

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #112 – P95 #112). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Memphis at #113. Memphis can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Memphis need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Memphis can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#112 – #112

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Today

#113

RPI 0.5140

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#112

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #112 – P95 #112). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Memphis at #113. Memphis can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Memphis need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Memphis can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#112 – #112

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Today

#113

RPI 0.5140

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#112

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #112 – P95 #112). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Memphis at #113. Memphis can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Memphis need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Memphis can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#112 – #112

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Today

#113

RPI 0.5140

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#112

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #112 – P95 #112). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#113

RPI 0.5140

Memphis has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Memphis at #113. Memphis can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another