Backward solver

What does Manhattan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Manhattan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#265 – #266

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Today

#266

RPI 0.4405

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#265

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #265 – P95 #266). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Manhattan at #266. Manhattan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Manhattan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Manhattan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#265 – #266

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Today

#266

RPI 0.4405

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#265

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #265 – P95 #266). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Manhattan at #266. Manhattan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Manhattan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Manhattan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#265 – #266

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Today

#266

RPI 0.4405

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#265

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #265 – P95 #266). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Manhattan at #266. Manhattan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Manhattan need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Manhattan can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#265 – #266

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Today

#266

RPI 0.4405

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#265

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #265 – P95 #266). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#266

RPI 0.4405

Manhattan has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Manhattan at #266. Manhattan can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another