Backward solver

What does Long Beach State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Long Beach State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#250 – #251

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Today

#250

RPI 0.4497

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#251

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #250 – P95 #251). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Long Beach State at #250. Long Beach State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Long Beach State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Long Beach State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#250 – #251

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Today

#250

RPI 0.4497

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#251

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #250 – P95 #251). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Long Beach State at #250. Long Beach State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Long Beach State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Long Beach State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#250 – #251

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Today

#250

RPI 0.4497

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#251

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #250 – P95 #251). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Long Beach State at #250. Long Beach State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Long Beach State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Long Beach State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#250 – #251

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Today

#250

RPI 0.4497

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#251

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #250 – P95 #251). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#250

RPI 0.4497

Long Beach State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Long Beach State at #250. Long Beach State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another