Backward solver

What does Iona need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Iona can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#261 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Today

#262

RPI 0.4421

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#261

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #261 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Iona at #262. Iona can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Iona need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Iona can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#261 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Today

#262

RPI 0.4421

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#261

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #261 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Iona at #262. Iona can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Iona need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Iona can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#261 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Today

#262

RPI 0.4421

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#261

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #261 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Iona at #262. Iona can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Iona need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Iona can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#261 – #262

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Today

#262

RPI 0.4421

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#261

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #261 – P95 #262). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#262

RPI 0.4421

Iona has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Iona at #262. Iona can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another