Backward solver

What does Illinois State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Illinois State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Today

#157

RPI 0.4946

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#156

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Illinois State at #157. Illinois State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Illinois State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Illinois State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Today

#157

RPI 0.4946

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#156

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Illinois State at #157. Illinois State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Illinois State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Illinois State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Today

#157

RPI 0.4946

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#156

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Illinois State at #157. Illinois State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Illinois State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Illinois State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#155 – #157

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Today

#157

RPI 0.4946

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#156

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #155 – P95 #157). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#157

RPI 0.4946

Illinois State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Illinois State at #157. Illinois State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another