Backward solver

What does Harvard need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Harvard can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#228 – #230

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Today

#229

RPI 0.4619

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#229

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #228 – P95 #230). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Harvard at #229. Harvard can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Harvard need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Harvard can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#228 – #230

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Today

#229

RPI 0.4619

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#229

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #228 – P95 #230). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Harvard at #229. Harvard can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Harvard need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Harvard can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#228 – #230

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Today

#229

RPI 0.4619

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#229

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #228 – P95 #230). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Harvard at #229. Harvard can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Harvard need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Harvard can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#228 – #230

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Today

#229

RPI 0.4619

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#229

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #228 – P95 #230). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#229

RPI 0.4619

Harvard has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Harvard at #229. Harvard can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another