Backward solver

What does Davidson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Davidson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#220 – #220

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Today

#219

RPI 0.4673

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#220

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #220 – P95 #220). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Davidson at #219. Davidson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Davidson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Davidson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#220 – #220

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Today

#219

RPI 0.4673

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#220

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #220 – P95 #220). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Davidson at #219. Davidson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Davidson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Davidson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#220 – #220

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Today

#219

RPI 0.4673

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#220

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #220 – P95 #220). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Davidson at #219. Davidson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Davidson need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Davidson can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#220 – #220

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Today

#219

RPI 0.4673

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#220

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #220 – P95 #220). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#219

RPI 0.4673

Davidson has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Davidson at #219. Davidson can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another