Backward solver

What does Creighton need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Creighton can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#97 – #97

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Today

#96

RPI 0.5218

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#97

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #97 – P95 #97). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Creighton at #96. Creighton can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Creighton need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Creighton can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#97 – #97

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Today

#96

RPI 0.5218

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#97

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #97 – P95 #97). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Creighton at #96. Creighton can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Creighton need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Creighton can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#97 – #97

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Today

#96

RPI 0.5218

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#97

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #97 – P95 #97). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Creighton at #96. Creighton can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Creighton need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Creighton can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#97 – #97

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Today

#96

RPI 0.5218

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#97

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #97 – P95 #97). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#96

RPI 0.5218

Creighton has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Creighton at #96. Creighton can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another