Backward solver

What does Connecticut need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Connecticut can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#103 – #105

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Today

#104

RPI 0.5177

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#105

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #103 – P95 #105). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Connecticut at #104. Connecticut can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Connecticut need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Connecticut can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#103 – #105

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Today

#104

RPI 0.5177

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#105

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #103 – P95 #105). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Connecticut at #104. Connecticut can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Connecticut need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Connecticut can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#103 – #105

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Today

#104

RPI 0.5177

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#105

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #103 – P95 #105). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Connecticut at #104. Connecticut can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Connecticut need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Connecticut can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#103 – #105

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Today

#104

RPI 0.5177

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#105

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #103 – P95 #105). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#104

RPI 0.5177

Connecticut has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Connecticut at #104. Connecticut can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another