Backward solver

What does Cincinnati need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Cincinnati has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#22 – #22

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#22

RPI 0.5810

If Cincinnati wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#22

RPI 0.5792

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#22

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #22 – P95 #22). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#25

RPI 0.5759

If Cincinnati is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Cincinnati is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Louisiana	#22	#25	3

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cincinnati need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Cincinnati has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#22 – #22

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#22

RPI 0.5810

If Cincinnati wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#22

RPI 0.5792

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#22

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #22 – P95 #22). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#25

RPI 0.5759

If Cincinnati is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Cincinnati is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Louisiana	#22	#25	3

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cincinnati need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Cincinnati has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#22 – #22

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#22

RPI 0.5810

If Cincinnati wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#22

RPI 0.5792

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#22

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #22 – P95 #22). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#25

RPI 0.5759

If Cincinnati is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Cincinnati is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Louisiana	#22	#25	3

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cincinnati need?

Locked inMake the field (top 64)

Cincinnati has clinched the field no matter what happens.

Realistic window

#22 – #22

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#22

RPI 0.5810

If Cincinnati wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#22

RPI 0.5792

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#22

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #22 – P95 #22). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#25

RPI 0.5759

If Cincinnati is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Clinched

Cincinnati is mathematically locked into the field. Even losing every remaining game leaves them at #64 or better.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
HFri, May 29	Mississippi State Regional W R1Louisiana	#22	#25	3

Try another