Backward solver

What does Cal Poly need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Cal Poly can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#72 – #73

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#69

RPI 0.5398

If Cal Poly wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#71

RPI 0.5369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#72

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #72 – P95 #73). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#74

RPI 0.5355

If Cal Poly is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Cal Poly at #69. Cal Poly can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	UCLA Regional W R1Virginia Tech	#69	#74	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cal Poly need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Cal Poly can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#72 – #73

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#69

RPI 0.5398

If Cal Poly wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#71

RPI 0.5369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#72

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #72 – P95 #73). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#74

RPI 0.5355

If Cal Poly is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Cal Poly at #69. Cal Poly can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	UCLA Regional W R1Virginia Tech	#69	#74	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cal Poly need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Cal Poly can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#72 – #73

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#69

RPI 0.5398

If Cal Poly wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#71

RPI 0.5369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#72

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #72 – P95 #73). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#74

RPI 0.5355

If Cal Poly is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Cal Poly at #69. Cal Poly can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	UCLA Regional W R1Virginia Tech	#69	#74	5

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Cal Poly need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Cal Poly can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#72 – #73

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#69

RPI 0.5398

If Cal Poly wins all 1 remaining games and every other team's results stay frozen.

Today

#71

RPI 0.5369

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#72

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #72 – P95 #73). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#74

RPI 0.5355

If Cal Poly is eliminated as quickly as the bracket allows and others' results stay frozen.

Out of reach

Winning all 1 remaining games still leaves Cal Poly at #69. Cal Poly can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Where it shifts most

1 games

Date	Opponent	Win →	Loss →	Swing
@Fri, May 29	UCLA Regional W R1Virginia Tech	#69	#74	5

Try another