Backward solver

What does Ball State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Ball State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#205 – #207

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Today

#207

RPI 0.4729

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#206

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #205 – P95 #207). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Ball State at #207. Ball State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Ball State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Ball State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#205 – #207

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Today

#207

RPI 0.4729

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#206

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #205 – P95 #207). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Ball State at #207. Ball State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Ball State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Ball State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#205 – #207

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Today

#207

RPI 0.4729

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#206

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #205 – P95 #207). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Ball State at #207. Ball State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another

Switch teams

Backward solver

What does Ball State need?

Out of reachMake the field (top 64)

Ball State can't make the field on the games that are left.

Realistic window

#205 – #207

P5 – P95 across simulated season

Cut line

≤ #64

Win out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Today

#207

RPI 0.4729

Current standing with no further games forced.

Likely finish

#206

Median across simulated seasons (P5 #205 – P95 #207). Samples every remaining game using calibrated win probabilities, so competitors stumbling moves the dial.

Lose out

#207

RPI 0.4729

Ball State has no games left to play.

Out of reach

Winning all 0 remaining games still leaves Ball State at #207. Ball State can’t make the field given the schedule that’s left.

Try another